Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.302414 0.353097 0.406620 0.467065 0.533148 0.602928 0.681913
2025-01-19 0.233714 0.303291 0.381586 0.475055 0.582468 0.700978 0.840550
2025-01-26 0.187639 0.269351 0.366850 0.489009 0.635309 0.802427 1.005293
2025-02-02 0.153035 0.242520 0.355396 0.503100 0.686394 0.901896 1.169950
2025-02-09 0.119542 0.210885 0.333005 0.499867 0.714089 0.972763 1.301660
2025-02-16 0.097606 0.190751 0.322143 0.508616 0.754990 1.059083 1.452613
2025-02-23 0.076869 0.168237 0.304707 0.506008 0.779588 1.124426 1.578141
2025-03-02 0.056110 0.141069 0.276775 0.485747 0.778503 1.155718 1.660554
2025-03-09 0.045347 0.128352 0.268423 0.491461 0.811147 1.229783 1.796991
2025-03-16 0.033845 0.111213 0.250695 0.481491 0.820820 1.273083 1.894001
2025-03-23 0.029285 0.106916 0.253262 0.501516 0.872410 1.372170 2.063862
2025-03-30 0.022736 0.096276 0.243521 0.501487 0.894797 1.432027 2.183022
2025-04-06 0.017363 0.086758 0.234850 0.502895 0.919822 1.496862 2.311229
2025-04-13 0.014039 0.081388 0.233125 0.515165 0.960896 1.584210 2.470411
2025-04-20 0.011665 0.077837 0.234382 0.532152 1.009160 1.682033 2.644615
2025-04-27 0.009603 0.074367 0.235299 0.548372 1.056435 1.779027 2.818739
2025-05-04 0.006778 0.066400 0.225721 0.545707 1.074421 1.834912 2.937810
2025-05-11 0.005174 0.062120 0.223418 0.555412 1.111441 1.917938 3.094359
2025-05-18 0.003441 0.055480 0.214730 0.552898 1.128900 1.973019 3.213065
2025-05-25 0.001711 0.045684 0.196638 0.531550 1.115291 1.982667 3.268930
2025-06-01 0.001098 0.042139 0.193393 0.537692 1.145734 2.056279 3.413663
2025-06-08 0.000479 0.035996 0.182010 0.527158 1.148311 2.088814 3.501246
2025-06-15 0.000353 0.035642 0.186658 0.548432 1.203791 2.199862 3.699526